一、市場回顧
今日(ri)天津市(shi)場各品(pin)種價(jia)格(ge)整體(ti)持穩,現(xian)(xian)冷軋(ya)板(ban)卷(juan)報(bao)4630元/噸(dun)、鍍鋅(xin)板(ban)卷(juan)報(bao)5130元/噸(dun)、彩(cai)涂板(ban)卷(juan)報(bao)5450元/噸(dun)。市(shi)場方(fang)面(mian),今日(ri)期貨(huo)熱卷(juan)盤面(mian)震(zhen)蕩下(xia)行,現(xian)(xian)貨(huo)市(shi)場成交氛圍逐漸變(bian)弱,市(shi)場商家(jia)受(shou)制于鋼廠結算(suan)成本過高,價(jia)格(ge)也(ye)不愿向下(xia)調(diao)整,也(ye)是隨行就(jiu)市(shi),市(shi)場整體(ti)成交表現(xian)(xian)不溫不火。庫(ku)(ku)存方(fang)面(mian),據Mysteel調(diao)研(yan),目(mu)前國(guo)內鍍鋅(xin)社(she)庫(ku)(ku)105.61萬噸(dun),周環比(bi)減少0.58萬噸(dun);彩(cai)涂25.65萬噸(dun),周環比(bi)減少0.64萬噸(dun),庫(ku)(ku)存依舊保持緩慢降(jiang)庫(ku)(ku)趨勢。
二、價差方面
區域價差(cha)(cha)(cha)來看,上海-天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)、廣州(zhou)-天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)鍍(du)鋅(xin)(xin)(xin)板(ban)(ban)卷(juan)價差(cha)(cha)(cha)均維(wei)持(chi)不(bu)變(bian)(bian),現上海-天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)、廣州(zhou)-天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)鍍(du)鋅(xin)(xin)(xin)板(ban)(ban)卷(juan)價差(cha)(cha)(cha)分(fen)別(bie)為-20元/噸(dun)和(he)-140元/噸(dun)。品種(zhong)價差(cha)(cha)(cha)來看,天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)鍍(du)鋅(xin)(xin)(xin)-冷(leng)(leng)軋、天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)鍍(du)鋅(xin)(xin)(xin)-熱軋板(ban)(ban)卷(juan)價差(cha)(cha)(cha)均維(wei)持(chi)不(bu)變(bian)(bian),現天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)鍍(du)鋅(xin)(xin)(xin)-冷(leng)(leng)軋、天(tian)(tian)(tian)津(jin)鍍(du)鋅(xin)(xin)(xin)-熱軋板(ban)(ban)卷(juan)價差(cha)(cha)(cha)分(fen)別(bie)為560元/噸(dun)和(he)1160元/噸(dun)。
三、明日預測
綜合來看(kan),預計明日天(tian)津冷軋(ya)及鍍鋅板卷價(jia)格或窄(zhai)幅(fu)震蕩(dang)盤整運行。